Asian shares jumped on Monday on hopes Europe will come up with some concrete steps this week towards activating a crucial euro zone bail-out fund that is crucial to relieving funding stresses on the region's troubled economies.
The euro rose on a report that the IMF was preparing an aid package for Italy but pared gains after doubts were cast on the report, while the IMF later said there were no such discussions.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia Pacific shares outside Japan rose more than 2%, after slumping to its lowest level since early October on Friday to mark a fourth consecutive week of declines.
Japan's Nikkei also gained 2% after hitting its lowest in two-and-a-half years on Friday.
European shares were also expected to rise, with financial spreadbetters predicting Britain's FTSE 100 would open up 0.9%, Germany's DAX up 1.6% and France's CAC-40 up 1.4%.
Traders said sentiment was bolstered early in the Asian day by a report in Italian newspaper La Stampa suggesting the IMF was preparing a rescue plan worth up to 600 bln euros for Italy, more than the fund can currently provide on its own.
The report was later dismissed by an IMF spokesperson, who said in response to media inquiries: "There are no discussions with the Italian authorities on a programme for IMF financing."
RADICAL PROPOSALS
With a European Union summit looming on Dec. 9, officials said at the weekend that Germany and France were exploring radical proposals for more rapid fiscal integration, possibly with fewer than the 17 countries that make up the euro zone.
The move would help fend off fierce market attacks on highly indebted countries and give more leeway for the European Central Bank to buy sovereign bonds.
Euro zone finance ministers will meet on Tuesday, and detailed operational rules for the region's bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility, are ready for approval. This would pave the way for the 440 bln euro facility to draw cash from investors.
"Talk about radical fiscal integration with fewer countries is slightly positive as it sounds like a pragmatic approach," said Yuji Saito, director of the foreign exchange division at Credit Agricole Bank in Tokyo.
Oil, copper and precious metals rose, on the back of the rise in riskier equities and a weaker dollar, raising commodity-linked currencies such as the Australian dollar in tandem.
Spot gold was up 1.6%, dragging palladium up nearly 3% and silver up nearly 2%, while oil prices rose more than 1%.
"Commodities are up on short-covering as players who had been anticipating a deepening crisis and relentlessly avoided risks are relieved somewhat by signs European leaders are now moving with an elevated sense of urgency to catch up with the speed of market turmoil," said Koichiro Kamei, managing director at financial research firm Market Strategy Institute in Tokyo.
ITALY YIELDS DANGEROUSLY HIGH
European headlines pushed the euro higher on a wave of short-covering — when traders buy back a currency to realise gains on an earlier bet it would fall — but the single currency retreated later as scepticism returned to trade around $1.33 from earlier highs near $1.3330.
The Australian dollar also slipped from an earlier peak near $0.9890 to gain 0.2% at $0.9838, while the dollar trimmed its loss against six key currencies to fall 0.45%.
Traders said it was premature to expect investors to resume risk-taking ahead of key events this week, including up to nearly 19 bln euros in new bonds expected to be issued this week by Belgium, Italy, Spain and France.
The ECB is resisting mounting calls to expand its role in helping resolve the euro zone's fiscal problems, raising concerns about Italy being left without a financial backstop.
On Friday, Italy paid a record high yield of 6.5% for its six-month paper, while 10-year bond yields ended last week at more than 7.3%, in the zone that forced Greece, Ireland and Portugal to seek international aid.
Japanese government bonds fell to a three-month low as investors continued to take profits in an overbought market, and also ahead of a key 10-year auction later this week.
