Oil edged down below $58 on Friday, as focus returned to growing signs of a global recession and slowing demand, after prices climbed almost 4 percent the previous day on a run-up in equity markets.
U.S. crude futures for December shed 42 cents to $57.82 a barrel at 0650 GMT, after closing $2.08 higher on Thursday.
Oil is down almost $90 a barrel since its record of $147.27 in July, and touched $54.67 on Thursday, the lowest since January 30, 2007. London Brent crude for January, the new front-month, lost 51 cents to $55.73 a barrel.
Expectations that OPEC would cut output again late this month had also lent support, but some analysts said it was premature to conclude that the market had hit a bottom, pointing to high U.S. oil stockpiles and slowing world oil demand growth.
"I definitely don't agree with the view that oil prices have bottomed out. No one can say where that would be," said David Moore, commodities strategist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
He said the share market rebound in the United States, Australia and Asia as well as the dip in the U.S. dollar had earlier aided oil's rise.
Stock markets in Japan and Hong Kong led the region's surge on Friday on the back of the more than 6 percent rally in U.S. equity markets overnight, as this week's plunge was deemed excessive, although the global economy remained in danger ahead of a G20 meeting this weakened.
The U.S., China and Germany all provided fresh evidence of the global economic slide, while the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development cut its economic output forecasts for the United States, Japan and the euro zone, saying it sees all three sliding into recession.
The dollar eased versus the yen on Friday after a sharp rise a day earlier, as investors returned to the perceived safe haven of the Japanese currency amid fears about the global credit crisis.
"Without any doubt the economy is still a major worry and key factor that still hangs over the market," Moore said.
OPEC POISED FOR MORE CUTS
Following OPEC President Chakib Khelil's comments on Thursday that the cartel would "take the right decision" at an emergency meeting on November 29, analysts said the market had likely already discounted the eventuality of further output cuts.
Most analysts expect the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries to make at least another 1 million barrels per day (bpd) cut, on top of the 1.5 million bpd members of the group have so far shown that they have started cutting after last month's decision.
"If a potential further cut in OPEC supply ends up too low, it will have little effect on the current market psychology which remains demand/economy focused," BNP Paribas analyst Harry Tchilinguirian said in a note.
"On the other hand, if the potential additional cut is announced too high, doubts will be raised on whether the implementation (on top of the previous cut) is realistically achievable given fiscal balances of some of the members are already strained by the fall in prices."
U.S. inventory data also pointed to a more bearish trend, as total product demand fell 6.6 percent in the past four weeks and after the International Energy Agency cut its global oil demand growth forecasts amid more evidence the world economy is far weaker than thought.
What Are Cookies
As is common practice with almost all professional websites, our site uses cookies, which are tiny files that are downloaded to your device, to improve your experience.
This document describes what information they gather, how we use it and why we sometimes need to store these cookies. We will also share how you can prevent these cookies from being stored however this may downgrade or ‘break’ certain elements of the sites functionality.
How We Use Cookies
We use cookies for a variety of reasons detailed below. Unfortunately, in most cases there are no industry standard options for disabling cookies without completely disabling the functionality and features they add to the site. It is recommended that you leave on all cookies if you are not sure whether you need them or not, in case they are used to provide a service that you use.
The types of cookies used on this website can be classified into one of three categories:
- Strictly Necessary Cookies. These are essential in order to enable you to use certain features of the website, such as submitting forms on the website.
- Functionality Cookies.These are used to allow the website to remember choices you make (such as your language) and provide enhanced features to improve your web experience.
- Analytical / Navigation Cookies. These cookies enable the site to function correctly and are used to gather information about how visitors use the site. This information is used to compile reports and help us to improve the site. Cookies gather information in anonymous form, including the number of visitors to the site, where visitors came from and the pages they viewed.
Disabling Cookies
You can prevent the setting of cookies by adjusting the settings on your browser (see your browser’s “Help” option on how to do this). Be aware that disabling cookies may affect the functionality of this and many other websites that you visit. Therefore, it is recommended that you do not disable cookies.
Third Party Cookies
In some special cases we also use cookies provided by trusted third parties. Our site uses [Google Analytics] which is one of the most widespread and trusted analytics solutions on the web for helping us to understand how you use the site and ways that we can improve your experience. These cookies may track things such as how long you spend on the site and the pages that you visit so that we can continue to produce engaging content. For more information on Google Analytics cookies, see the official Google Analytics page.
Google Analytics
Google Analytics is Google’s analytics tool that helps our website to understand how visitors engage with their properties. It may use a set of cookies to collect information and report website usage statistics without personally identifying individual visitors to Google. The main cookie used by Google Analytics is the ‘__ga’ cookie.
In addition to reporting website usage statistics, Google Analytics can also be used, together with some of the advertising cookies, to help show more relevant ads on Google properties (like Google Search) and across the web and to measure interactions with the ads Google shows.
Learn more about Analytics cookies and privacy information.
Use of IP Addresses. An IP address is a numeric code that identifies your device on the Internet. We might use your IP address and browser type to help analyze usage patterns and diagnose problems on this website and to improve the service we offer to you. But without additional information your IP address does not identify you as an individual.
Your Choice. When you accessed this website, our cookies were sent to your web browser and stored on your device. By using our website, you agree to the use of cookies and similar technologies.
More Information
Hopefully the above information has clarified things for you. As it was previously mentioned, if you are not sure whether you want to allow the cookies or not, it is usually safer to leave cookies enabled in case it interacts with one of the features you use on our site. However, if you are still looking for more information, then feel free to contact us via email at [email protected]